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Showing posts from March, 2020

Reason vs Science and COVID-19

That which is reasonable isn't necessarily scientific, and is frequently untrue.  Should America be locked down?  More  and more reasonable voices say no. And they have their reasonable advocates. The problem is that  reason in this case isn't scientific, just as a reasonable hypothesis can be totally false. For example. Given all we know about the relationship between disease and death we can reasonably say that there are usually multiple causes of death, and frequently multiple diseases involved. This leads to the reasonable hypothesis that the COVID-19 disease caused by the corona virus may not be any more fatal than the seasonal flu; that it is simply one of many co-morbidities involved in the deaths of those who have it. And it reasonably follows that drastic steps taken to halt its spread are ill conceived.  To move beyond reason to science we would now need to test this hypothesis. The obvious test is to expose a large population to the corona virus and then see if morta

Offering Reasonable Hope

A number of years ago I was asked to sit in on the United Nations conference studying near earth objects, or NEOs.  The purpose of the conference was to discuss how people should be alerted if there was the possibility of one of these objects striking the earth. Two moments in the conference really stood out for me.  The first was a short talk by a gentleman who specialized in communicating danger to the public.   He said, and I believe he is right "no one understands risk communicated in percentages. If there’s a chance of rain just tell people to take an umbrella."  The second memorable moment came at the end of the first day. I was sitting at the back of the room being quiet while all the officials and scientists talked. Then one of them noticed my presence and asked me who I was and why I was there. I answered that I was a guest of one of the organizers and was just observing. Then I said that I was a teacher in a theological school. He quickly shot back,  “A theologian.

Science not Sacrifice

Recently Dan Patrick, Lt. Governor of the state of Texas suggested that he, and by extension other “Sr. Citizens” should be willing to risk infection and COVID-19 rather than sacrifice the country and its economic prospects. And thus by extension the lives of children and grandchildren. He got pretty beat up for it. But for the wrong reasons. Religious people took him on for the implied suggestion of the sacrifice of the lives of the elderly to save the economy. That was my first response but it was misguided. Gov. Cuomo said there didn’t need to be a tradeoff between public safety and the economy. A good tweet but not backed up by an actual strategy. On the sentimental side folks said that children and grandchildren would rather have parents and grand parents than a quick return to economic prosperity.  I’d like to think so myself but its not an evidence based assertion .  And that’s what is really wrong with Mr. Patrick’s suggestion.  Instead of acting on evidence he is suggesting th

The Fundamental Value

The fundamental value underlying all claims to individual rights and freedoms is the good of human society on its broadest scale . This insight was clear to the founders of the United States, who wrote its constitution precisely to “promote the general Welfare” and who sought to establish justice, insure domestic tranquilly, provide for the common defense and secure the blessings NOT for a few individuals but for “ourselves and our posterity.”  The collective good is the reason for the formation of a United States.  "We the people of the United States, in Order to form a more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.” The other great insight of the founders is expressed in the 1st amendment to the constitution, which makes up what we commonly call the Bill of

The Religion of Human Sacrifice - Good to Go in Texas.

On March 19th Gov. Gregg Abbott (corrected to add: suspended the Texas Open Meetings act) and declared a ban on meetings of over 50 persons state wide. He then noted in a TV interview that it didn’t include religious bodies because he wanted to protect their religious freedom.  https://www.kxan.com/news/coronavirus/gov-abbott-freedom-of-religion-means-churches-not-in-covid-19-order-but-many-making-changes/amp/ This is a completely bogus reading of the meaning of religious freedom. We do not offer religious freedom to people who practice human sacrifice. And letting religious groups hold large gatherings that create vectors for the spread of the corona virus will be followed inevitably by an increased numbers of deaths, an overstressed hospital system, and then even more deaths. It is apparently Gov. Abbott’s affirmation of human sacrifice as a legitimate religious option in the State of Texas. I note as well that this effectively allows religious groups to continue to hold open meetin
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Do Muslims Worship the Same God as Christians?  Lets take a look.